I'm... tempted to wait this one out. One of us would die, but the two that remained would have a 50/50 shot at getting it.
Ultimately, I think this is vague enough for us to greatly benefit from not killing someone this round. From a townie perspective, a chance to hit a mafia 1/3 is better than 1/4.
I figured I'd put all my cards on the table, since it's highly likely I'll be the one to die this night.
Sol made that post defending Britt, but think about it: that doesn't make any sense from a mafia perspective. Britt was being accused pretty heavily - if Britt had gone down, and flipped mafia, Sol would've appeared super obvious.
If Britt is mafia though, and Sol was trying to save his buddy, then he would've had to have known that he had enough sway to turn a bandwagon around.
But, then there's this post. If Sorario dies, Sol looks clean. If Sol dies, Sorario looks clean.
Britt, of course, has that whole "I think Sol and myself are innocent" thing, but that still seems odd from a mafia perspective, due to the reasoning above. He also has that RBY thing, but I'm not sure if we should follow that or not.
Then we have the question of Mutsukki. I know for a fact he's more suspicious then he lets on. He pm'd me this.
Okay, first, he's been sucking up to me for ages. That's probably why I haven't tried investigating him that hard, and to be frank, I should've. But here's the part that strikes me as odd. A while ago, I told Mutsukki to vote for Sol:
If Britt is mafia though, and Sol was trying to save his buddy, then he would've had to have known that he had enough sway to turn a bandwagon around.
But, then there's this post. If Sorario dies, Sol looks clean. If Sol dies, Sorario looks clean.
Britt, of course, has that whole "I think Sol and myself are innocent" thing, but that still seems odd from a mafia perspective, due to the reasoning above. He also has that RBY thing, but I'm not sure if we should follow that or not.
Then we have the question of Mutsukki. I know for a fact he's more suspicious then he lets on. He pm'd me this.
Mutsukki Wrote:You laid out your cards, so the false bandwagon plan isn't gonna be belieavble anymore, I think
Something striked me as very odd on Sorario's post:
(09-10-2012, 06:13 PM)Sorario Wrote: Killing Gold last night over say, me or Keiang was pretty brilliant, because now we're in a room of HIGHLY questionable people and low certainty.
This shows some flaw in his logic. Maybe he didn't catch on that you're pretty much a confirmed innocent (or incredibly clever!). I don't actually understand what that means, but it must mean something! He could have mentioned me or Britt, he seems suspicious of you for some reason.
Also Britt seems to want to pin some blame on me. I think this is a good opportunity to call them out somehow. I wish I was smarter at this game to form out plans ahahaha. We could deceive them somehow with information they don't know, but what...
Okay, first, he's been sucking up to me for ages. That's probably why I haven't tried investigating him that hard, and to be frank, I should've. But here's the part that strikes me as odd. A while ago, I told Mutsukki to vote for Sol:
Mutsukki Wrote:I never told him it was a false bandwagon plan. It's easy enough to figure out if you've seen mafia before, and have some experience, but Mutsukki's said this is his first game. Considering this is his first time, I find this REALLY, REALLY WEIRD he worked it out on his own.Keiang Wrote:Mutsukki Wrote:Keiang Wrote:Mutsukki Wrote:First of all, I should really say that I'm just a good regular member. I have no power or anything, so if it ever comes so that I'll have to sacrifice myself (by drawing attention, I have some ideas), I'll gladly do it.
Now, for what this PM is really worth, I think my early bandwagon may have some use. Like you said, if Sol is a werewolf, he's the sneakiest ever, because I can only believe he really is a good guy, he's the only one that unvoted for Zada after what he said (I wasn't on the PC at the time), it would be weird that he's a baddie.
But Britt, for some reason I've been suspecting him since the begining of the game, but had zero leads (I went for Zadaben because he was the most obvious). We should analyze that. If it's wrong, then welp, you'll probably be sure I'm a baddie, but I'm prepared to die one way or another anyway.
I know you don't suspect him, but would you mind voting for Sol anyway? I need to check something.
Well, I think reaching majority on Sol would be a mistake and I may be unable to unvote if anything, but if you have a plan, sure, why not.
Do you want me to start it?
Actually, he just posted a response, and it seems legit enough. Let's go after Britt, see where that goes.
I sure hope redblueyellow isn't making us fall for a trap, since it's kinda suspicious that he would have been helping us, misinformation like Gold said.
Well, if anything comes up, I'll try to check and try to follow what you guys are thinking
I figured I'd put all my cards on the table, since it's highly likely I'll be the one to die this night.